Phase & Valuation

Three questions decide a company's life-cycle phase — growing? profitable? returning capital? — then the page picks the one valuation metric that fits that phase and shows where today's price sits against the company's own 5-year history. Free SEC filings + live prices, nothing paid.

NVIDIA CORP (NVDA)

$224.58 as of 2026-09-24 via yahoo

Fair
Capital Return · confidence 70/100

5-Phase ladder

Phase 1
Startup
Phase 2
Hyper Growth
Phase 3
Operating Leverage
Phase 4
Capital Return
Phase 5
Decline

Why Phase 4: growing, profitable, and returning capital via buybacks/dividends; revenue growing +83.4% YoY

Q1. Growing?Yes
Revenue?Total sales the company booked — before any costs or expenses are subtracted.
(
TTM?Trailing Twelve Months — the most recent 4 quarters added together, so it updates every quarter instead of waiting a full year.
): $302.97B
YoY: +83.4%
Q2. Profitable?Yes
Net income
TTM?Trailing Twelve Months — the most recent 4 quarters added together, so it updates every quarter instead of waiting a full year.
: $192.88B
operating cash flow?Operating Cash Flow — actual cash generated by the core business, before investing or financing activity. Cash is harder to fake than accounting profit.
: $134.36B
operating margin?Operating margin — operating profit divided by revenue, as a percent. How much of every sales dollar turns into profit before interest and taxes.
: +65.2% · 3yr trend: 2024: +54.1%, 2025: +62.4%, 2026: +60.4%
Q3. Returning capital?Yes
buybacks?The company spending its own cash to repurchase its own shares, which shrinks the share count and (all else equal) lifts the stock price.
: $55.31B ·
dividends?A cash payment a company sends directly to shareholders, usually every quarter.
s: $6.78B
% of
free cash flow?Free Cash Flow — operating cash flow minus the money spent on equipment/property (capex). What's left over for the company to do whatever it wants with.
: +46.3% · % of
market cap?Market Capitalization — share price times shares outstanding. What the stock market currently values all the equity at.
: +1.1%

P/E (
P/E?Price / Earnings — the stock price divided by profit per share. How many dollars you pay today for $1 of yearly profit.
)

Phase 4 primary metric
28.4x
Current
45.7x
5yr p25
57.5x
5yr median
77.3x
5yr p75
current: 28.392021-10-082026-09-25
Cheap below $361.80Fair (5yr mean) ~$577.88Fair (5yr median) ~$455.10Expensive above $611.09

percentile band?Percentile band — where today's number sits versus its own history. p25 = cheaper than 75% of the last 5 years; p75 = more expensive than 75% of the last 5 years.
· 260 weeks of point-in-time history

Cross-check metrics

40.4x
P/FCF?Price / Free Cash Flow — the stock price divided by free cash flow per share. A cross-check on P/E, since free cash flow is harder to dress up than GAAP earnings.

Warnings

1 flagged
RE RATING RISK

P/E has stayed below its 5-year mean for 109 straight weeks — the market may have structurally re-rated this stock lower, not just offered a temporary discount.

Phase and valuation labels are descriptive, not a tested buy signal. They summarize public filings and price history — not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold.

Data sources

SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (10-K filed 2026-02-25; 10-Q filed 2026-05-20; 10-Q filed 2026-08-26; 10-Q filed 2026-08-26) · price via yahoo · computed 2026-09-25 01:03 UTC · runtime 1.38s

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